Here are the retirement numbers since the imposed work rules (IWR)
Retirements from IWR through March 31, 2008: 1,514
FAA projected retirements for this time period: 1,030
FAA REBASELINED projected retirements for this time period: 1,143
Retirements in current fiscal year (FY08), Oct. 1, 2007 through March 31, 2008: 506
FAA projected retirements ALL of FY08: 695
FAA REBASELINED projected retirements ALL of FY08: 809
Retirements per day average, FY08: 2.77
TOTAL ATTRITION THROUGH FIRST SIX MONTHS OF FY08: 960
FAA projected total attrition for ALL of FY08: 1,276
FAA REBASELINED total attrition for ALL of FY08: 1,621
The FAA has lost 1 ATCer every 9 hours since the imposition.
This doesn't include trainees who just quit because of working conditions.
This is the definition of severe brain drain. 20 something years of experience walking out the door each time a controller retires. All because of the IWR. The FAA bet "all in" that controllers would stay until they were forced to retire at age 56. The FAA has made a very bad wager and controllers are protesting the IWR with their retirements as soon as they become eligible.
This causes a Catch 22 because now there are less controllers to train the incoming developmentals. Trainees are sitting around doing nothing because of a lack of staffing. You will see part of the FAA solution in January when they begin to split facilities such as PHL, MIA, MEM, and MCO. They have some of the new trainees checked out through the tower awaiting training in the TRACON. By splitting facilities the least experienced controllers will work in the tower and bid to train in the TRACON whenever there is a slot available. All of the experienced controllers will be in the TRACON.
The problem with this is the experienced guys are leaving too fast. Something will have to give.